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Asian analysis

Articles: Burma


Deceiving the US over North Korean ties

Democratic Voice of Burma, February 2, 2012

Any statements made by Burmese officials regarding the military's cooperation with foreign partners should be taken with a large pinch of salt.
[read the article at dvb.no]

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Burma Ready to Play Ball With US

YaleGlobal, January 20, 2012

US puts new focus on Burma amid US-Chinese rivalry in Asia and the Pacific
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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The limits of reform in Myanmar

Asia Times, January 18, 2012

On Myanmar's attempt to improve its international image and assuage its many critics at home and abroad.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Burma and Myanmar mean exactly the same thing

Mizzima, January 11, 2012

An expanded version of Bertil Lintner's letter to the Financial Times following their change in editorial policy regarding the usage of Burma/Myanmar.
[read the article at www.mizzima.com]

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China-Myanmar: border war dilemma

Asia Times, December 2, 2011

The final article in a four-part series on Myanmar's foreign relations.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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US-Myanmar: Engagement as nuclear pre-emption

Asia Times, December 1, 2011

The third article in a four-part series on Myanmar's foreign relations.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Realpolitik and the Myanmar Spring

Foreign Policy, November 30, 2011

Wondering why Hillary Clinton is in Myanmar right now? As Bertil Lintner explains, it's all about China.
[read the article at www.foreignpolicy.com]

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India-Myanmar: a half-built gateway

Asia Times, November 30, 2011

The second article in a four-part series on Myanmar's foreign relations.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China embrace too strong for Naypyidaw

Asia Times, November 29, 2011

The first article in a four-part series on Myanmar's foreign relations.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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China behind Myanmar's course shift

Asia Times, October 19, 2011

Myanmar's recent change of course may have more to do with regime survival than a desire to switch from military rule to democratic governance.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Burmese change aplenty but it's only skin deep

The Australian, October 17, 2011

If most Western pundits are to be believed, fundamental change is taking place in Burma. But the sad truth is that there is no process in motion that would lead to real democracy in the nation.
[read the article at www.theaustralian.com.au]

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Burma Delivers Its First Rebuff to China

YaleGlobal, October 3, 2011

Shelving of gigantic Chinese hydroelectric dam could be a signal to the West
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Book Review: Before the Darkness

Asia Times, October 1, 2011

Bertil Lintner reviews Rangoon Journalist: Memoirs of Burma days 1940-1958 by J F Samaranayake
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Toys for the boys in Myanmar

Asia Times, September 8, 2011

Bertil Lintner on Myanmar's defense industry.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Burma's Leadership Change to Nowhere

The Wall Street Journal, May 16, 2011

Burma's military junta is in the midst of a political transition to a new generation. But it may not be much different from the old one.
[read the article at online.wsj.com]

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The Generals' Celestial Mandate

Asia Literary Review, Spring, 2011

The brutality of Burma's ruling generals is well known, but their guile and shrewdness in exercising power over the populace have often been underestimated. Almost half a century of resilience cannot simply be attributed to star alignments or providence of the number nine.

[read the article at www.asialiteraryreview.com]

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Fog lifts on Myanmar-North Korea barter

Asia Times, March 4, 2011

The growing uncertainty among North Korea's trade partners in the middle east could explain why the country is now cementing ties with a client much closer to home: military-run Myanmar.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Myanmar, North Korea in missile nexus

Asia Times, March 2, 2011

Military-run Myanmar's growing weapons ambitions threaten to destabilize the region and make the Southeast Asian country a new global weapons proliferation hotspot.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Compound interest in Myanmar

Asia Times, February 26, 2011

Myanmar's ruling generals are literally digging in, taking no chances of a substantial power shift after last November's general elections.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Farce follows tragedy in Myanmar

Asia Times, January 25, 2011

If Karl Marx was right that history repeats itself first as tragedy and then as farce, Myanmar may have just entered the farcical phase of its long-running military rule.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Don't Believe the Hype, All We Are Seeing Is The Illusion of Change

Global Asia, December, 2010

Bertil Lintner takes part in the "Could Burma Finally Be Poised for Reform?" debate, concluding that the junta has a track record of crushing dissent, and will continue to do so, with no care for what the world thinks
[read the article at www.globalasia.org]

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US double talk on Myanmar nukes

Asia Times, December 16, 2010

Is Myanmar truly trying to acquire a nuclear weapons capability and produce ballistic missiles with North Korean assistance, or is it all poppycock, as claimed in a recent report by an award-winning US investigative journalism outfit?
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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The Burmese Junta's Latest Ruse

The New York Times, November 14, 2010

Bertil Lintner on the release of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi.
[read the article at www.nytimes.com]

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The Generals' Election

Wall Street Journal, October 24, 2010

Western countries are naive to think Burma's junta is taking steps toward a competitive democracy.
[more]

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Behold, beware Myanmar's fourth empire

Asia Times, August 25, 2010

Myanmar's government has announced democratic elections will be held on November 7, but in reality the country's military rulers are seeking to consolidate a vision of empire that affords them a permanent grip on the country.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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UN ignores Burma junta's drugs role

Democratic Voice of Burma, June 30, 2010

At long last, the UNODC has publicly acknowledged that Burma's drug problem cannot be separated from its decades-long ethnic conflicts.
[read the article at www.dvb.no]

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Deception and denials in Myanmar

Asia Times, June 30, 2010

Myanmar's military government issued pro-forma denials after al-Jazeera aired an investigative report alleging that Myanmar is attempting to develop nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Myanmar's nuclear bombshell

Asia Times, June 5, 2010

Myanmar's ruling generals have started a secret program to develop nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles to deliver them in a high-stakes bid to deter perceived hostile foreign powers, according to a new report.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Burmese Election Show

Look East magazine (India), March, 2010

With a general election to be held later this year, the Junta will try to neutralise as many of the border insurgencies as possible.
[read the article (pdf)]

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Reaching Out to Burma

The Wall Street Journal, November 04, 2009

Bertil Lintner on the Obama administration's new policy of engagement with authoritarian regimes, and how it appears in the context of Burma.
[read the article (pdf)]

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Clouded alliance - North Korea and Myanmar's covert ties

Jane's Intelligence Review, September, 2009

The nature of military co-operation between North Korea and Myanmar has come under international scrutiny amid fears of nuclear proliferation activities. Bertil Lintner investigates the historical ties and extent of collaboration between the two pariah regimes.
[more]

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U.N. Mission to Nowehere

The Wall Street Journal, July 2, 2009

Bertil Lintner on United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon's mission to Burma.
[read the article (pdf)]

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Tunnels, Guns and Kimchi: North Korea's Quest for Dollars - Part I

YaleGlobal, June 09, 2009

Bertil Lintner reveals how North Korea has been secretly helping Burma - another pariah regime - to build an extensive tunnel network as emergency shelter and for other unknown purposes.
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Burma's Nuclear Temptation

YaleGlobal, December 3, 2008

Rich with uranium and desperate for control, the Burmese junta may find a nuclear option attractive.
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Crisis and Response - Part II

YaleGlobal, May 21, 2008

Afraid that a foreign presence would embolden citizens to protest, the Burmese junta limits access to the disaster area.
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Book Review: Regrettable apology for Myanmar

Asia Times, February 9, 2008

Bertil Lintner reviews Promoting Human Rights in Burma by Morten B Pedersen.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Book Review: Stamping Out History

The Irrawaddy, January 3, 2008

Bertil Lintner reviews Stamps of Burma: A Historical Record Through 1988, by Min Sun Min.
[read the article at www.irrawaddy.org]

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Myanmar back on a roadmap to nowhere

Asia Times, December 4, 2007

With the opposition subdued and the authorities vigorously hunting down the organizers of the September demonstrations - and the international community held at bay with promises of more ineffectual talks mediated by United Nations special envoy Ibrahim Gambari - Myanmar's ruling junta has put back on track its so-called "Seven-point Road Map" which it says will lead the country towards "national reconsolidation".
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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A Charity's Checkered Past

The Irrawaddy, December 1, 2007

Two Japanese foundations active in Burma have a past linked to World War II far-right war criminals.
[more]

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Book Review: Doing Wrong to Do Good

The Irrawaddy, December, 2007

Bertil Lintner reviews The United Wa State Party: Narco-Army or Ethnic Nationalist Party? by Tom Kramer.
[more]

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UN holds false hope for Myanmar

Asia Times, November 17, 2007

If the United Nations special envoy to Myanmar, Ibrahim Gambari, is to be believed, the situation in the military run country has changed for the better in the past few weeks. But in reality manipulating the UN and sporadically giving false hopes to the international community buys the junta time while it moves to legitimize its hold on political power through a new charter.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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India stands by Myanmar status quo

Asia Times, November 14, 2007

Given China's apparent reluctance to push for democratic change in Myanmar, could India, the country's other key regional ally, be persuaded to use its influence to facilitate political change?
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Burma's Latest Uprising

Asian Analysis, November, 2007

Once again, the Burmese people have risen up against their military-led government - and once again have the authorities used lethal force to crush the protests, defying the demands of their own citizens and ignoring international condemnations. But is there dissent within the ranks?
[more]

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China no sure bet on Myanmar

Asia Times, November 8, 2007

There is a widespread perception that only China has the diplomatic leverage over Myanmar's generals to force them to the negotiating table to discuss the future of the country with the political opposition. But though China is playing several different games in Myanmar, following the West's desired policies of encouraging more democracy is not one of them.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Book Review: Tales from the Land in Between

The Irrawaddy, November 1, 2007

Bertil Lintner reviews Frontier Mosaic by Richard Humphries.
[more]

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Putting the Boot In

The Irrawaddy, November 1, 2007

It's time to consider how to bring the brutal Burmese generals to justice.
[more]

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Myanmar's generals hit where it hurts

Asia Times, November 2, 2007

The latest US sanctions against Burma mean that life just got considerably harder for Myanmar's ruling generals.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Death of a drug lord

Asia Times, November 1, 2007

Khun Sa, 73, once known as the "Lord of the Golden Triangle", is dead. Throughout his career as one the world's most prominent drug traffickers, he simultaneously had some very solid contacts - and protectors - in his native Myanmar and beyond.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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UN fiddles while Myanmar burns

Asia Times, October 23, 2007

Bertil Lintner asks whether the United Nations and its agencies are becoming part of the problem rather than the solution in Myanmar.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Burma: Tragedy in the Temples

The World Today, Volume 63, Number 11, November, 2007

The harsh crackdown on demonstrators in Burma may have sealed the ultimate fate of the military junta that has been in charge for so long. But when it falls from power, who could take over, and what problems would they face in holding the country together?
[read the article at chathamhouse.org.uk]

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Book Review: Exploring Ethnic Diversity in Burma

The Irrawaddy, October, 2007

Bertil Lintner reviews Exploring Ethnic Diversity in Burma edited by Mikael Gravers.
[more]

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The Burmese Way to Fascism

Far Eastern Economic Review, October, 2007

Bertil Lintner examines the bitter reality behind the latest popular uprising in Burma.
[more]

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Book Review: Burma and Japan Since 1940: From "Co-Prosperity" to Quiet Dialogue

Far Eastern Economic Review, October, 2007

Bertil Lintner reviews Burma and Japan Since 1940: From "Co-Prosperity" to Quiet Dialogue by Donald M. Seekins.
[more]

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Trade and Security Trump Democracy in Burma - Part I

YaleGlobal, October 3, 2007

Bertil Linter examines international reaction to the Burmese junta's recent crackdown on pro-democratic protests in Burma, and what leverage the country's neighbours might have on the situation.
[read the article at yaleglobal.yale.edu]

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Facing the enemy within

The Sydney Morning Herald, September 29, 2007

Bertil Lintner doesn't hold out much hope for Burma's democracy movement in its fight against a brutal regime that is not overly concerned about international reaction.
[read the article at smh.com.au]

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Goons of Rangoon: The Generals Who Would Be Kings

The Washington Post, September 30, 2007

Bertil Linter on the latest popular uprising in Burma and the generals who are trying to quash it.
[read the article at www.washingtonpost.com]

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Burma's Warrior Kings and the Generation of '88

Global Asia, Fall, 2007

The fact that Burma's military remains in power almost 20 years after the violent uprising of 1988 reflects the failure of both ASEAN's softer approach and economic and political pressures from the West.
[read the article at globalasia.org]

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Book Review: Perfect Hostage

Far Eastern Economic Review, June, 2007

Bertil Lintner reviews Justin Wintle's Perfect Hostage: A Life of Aung San Suu Kyi.
[more]

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Squaring the Circle

The Irrawaddy, June, 2007

On how Burma's regime tries to win legitimacy by invoking a facade of legality.
[more]

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Book Review: The Odd Couple

The Irrawaddy, May, 2007

Bertil Lintner reviews Burma and Japan Since 1940, by Donald M Seekins.
[more]

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Book Review: The River of Lost Footsteps

Far Eastern Economic Review, April, 2007

Bertil Lintner reviews The River of Lost Footsteps: Histories of Burma by Thant Myint-U.
[more]

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Myanmar's 88 Generation comes of age

Asia Times, January 25, 2007

Myanmar's military government may have narrowly escaped United Nations Security Council sanction, but it is facing an unprecedented political challenge at home, not by the crippled opposition National League for Democracy (NLD) but by an emerging network of dissidents who refer to themselves as the 88 Generation Students' Group. Bertil Lintner reports.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Burma's Lost World

The Irrawaddy, October, 2006

A little-known community, the Naga on the Burmese side of the Indian border, is one of the most isolated in the world
[more]

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Myanmar and North Korea share a tunnel vision

Asia Times, July 19, 2006

Under perceived threats from the US, Myanmar and North Korea are strengthening their strategic ties in a military-to-military exchange that includes weapons sales, technology transfer and underground tunneling expertise.
[read the article at www.atimes.com]

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Book Review: Superstition, Rumor and Gun Law

The Irrawaddy, July, 2006

Bertil Lintner reviews Burma at the Turn of the 21st Century, an academic study of Burma which though long on humorous anecdotes is short of real political analysis.
[more]

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Burma: Too Much to Hide

The World Today, Volume 62, Number 7, July 2006

Another period of hope for change in Burma has given way to soul searching about how to deal with the latest disappointment. But the optimism was always misplaced, the generals have far too much to lose from any real openness.
[read the article at www.chathamhouse.org]

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How not to Grant Autonomy

The Irrawaddy, June, 2006

Birobidzhan, a remote republic within Russia, provides a lesson to Burma on how not to federate along ethnic lines
[more]

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Book Review: Burma and the KGB

The Irrawaddy, February, 2006

Bertil Lintner reviews The Mitrokhin Archive: The KGB in Europe and the West.
[more]

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Book Review: The Wa Conundrum

The Irrawaddy, November, 2005

Bertil Lintner reviews Trouble in the Triangle: Opium and Conflict in Burma.
[more]

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How World War II Shaped Burma's Future

The Irrawaddy, August, 2005

Colonial powers beat the Japanese but lost their empires.
[more]

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Book Review: The Frontierslady

The Irrawaddy, April, 2005

Bertil Lintner reviews Edith Mirante's exciting but ugly account of her travels in Burma's border areas.
[more]

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Myanmar Payback Time

Jane's Defence Weekly, April 15, 2005

Criminal trials involving hundreds of military intelligence (MI) officers purged in October 2004 have begun in Myanmar, with stiff sentences handed down for followers of former prime minister and intelligence chief General Khin Nyunt. Bertil Lintner reports.
[more]

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Book Review: The Burma Campaign and Beyond

Irrawaddy, January, 2005

Bertil Lintner reviews Jon Latimer's account of the Burma Campaign.
[more]

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Book Review: Rediscovering Orwell

Far Eastern Economic Review, December, 2004

Bertil Lintner reviews two recent book on Burma.
[more]

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Burma: In the Dark

Far Eastern Economic Review, November 04, 2004

The world waits to see whether a top leadership change will affect democracy and reconciliation.
[more]

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Book Review: An Iron Grip

Far Eastern Economic Review, January 29, 2004

Burma's ruling junta has long resisted reform. Mary Callahan's book explains that it will probably keep doing so, writes Bertil Lintner.
[more]

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Burma: Dangerous Bedfellows

Far Eastern Economic Review, November 20, 2003

Evidence of a blossoming military relationship between pariah regimes in Rangoon and Pyongyang is causing growing concern overseas.
[more]

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Burma: The military digs in for the long haul

Far Eastern Economic Review, September 25, 2003

Carrots and sticks have failed to persuade the government to introduce democracy. That's unlikely to change soon. The military has grown used to its power and privileges, and it fears retribution for years of abuses if it hands over power to civilians.
[more]

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Burma: Black Sheep

Far Eastern Economic Review, August 14, 2003

Asean is embarrassed by the detention of Aung San Suu Kyi. But Burma is unlikely to clean up its act.
[more]

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Book Review: Stranger than Fiction

Far Eastern Economic Review, March 06, 2003

Bertil Lintner reviews the remarkable autobiography of Pascal Khoo Thwe, a Padaung who met a British Professor and travelled to England to study at Cambridge.
[more]

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Book Review: Burmese Battleground

Far Eastern Economic Review, January 16, 2003

Bertil Lintner reviews The War in Burma 1942-45: A Vital contribution to Victory in The Far East, by JulianThompson.
[more]

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Perspective: China and South Asia's east

Himal South Asia Magazine, October 2002

For economic and strategic reasons, Burma is crucial to both China and India. China has first-mover advantage but India has now woken up to the threat in the east. Meanwhile, the junta is looking less cohesive than it did.
[more]

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Book Review: More Than a Game in Burma

Far Eastern Economic Review, June 06, 2002

Bertil Lintner reviews Andrew Marshall's book The Trouser People.
[more]

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Burma: The Proof of the Pudding

Far Eastern Economic Review, May 16, 2002

The release of opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi after some 20 months of house arrest was welcomed around the world. But don't hold your breath for substantial political change any time soon.
[more]

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Burma: Land of Wiles

Far Eastern Economic Review, March 21, 2002

A crackdown on the family of dictator Ne Win is good news to many, but does little for democracy.
[more]

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Myanmar Gets a Russian Nuclear Reactor

The Wall Street Journal, January 3, 2002

Though one of the world's poorest countries, Myanmar is embarking on a nuclear-research project with the help of Russian and, possibly, Pakistani scientists.
[more]

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Friends of Necessity

Far Eastern Economic Review, Dec. 27, 2001

China needs Burma as an export outlet for its impoverished and landlocked southwest. But its rivals are suspicious of the warm ties with Rangoon.
[more]

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Political dialogue in Myanmar

IISS Strategic Comments, August 2001

It has been ten months since representatives of Myanmar's military regime - the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) - and pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi held the first in a series of secret talks. Although contacts have continued, there has been no political breakthrough.
[more]

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Myanmar: Optimism Fades

Asian Analysis, July 2001

In the first week of June, the United Nations special envoy to Burma made his second visit to Rangoon, but little remains of the cautious optimism that emerged from his first trip in January.
[more]

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Book Review: Burmese scholar drops integrity

Taipei Times, November 5, 2000

Bertil Lintner reviews The 1998 Uprising in Burma, Dr Maung Maung's revisionist retelling of the tumultuous events of 1998 in Burma.
[more]

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Book Review: His Story, not History

The Irrawaddy, August 2000

Bertil Lintner reviews The 1998 Uprising in Burma by Dr Maung Maung
[more]

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China's Ambitions in Myanmar

IISS Strategic Comments, July 2000

While Myanmar remains shunned by the West, the country's two giant neighbours, India and China, are jockeying for influence in Yangon.
[more]

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The Politics of Headhunting in Southeast Asia

Dateline Bangkok, Second Quarter 1997

Bertil Lintner visits the Wa people.
[more]

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Myanmar's Chinese Connection

International Defense Review, November 1994

For more than five years, Myanmar (formerly Burma) has been a major recipient of Chinese weapons. Now , however, Myanmar is trying to diversify its sources of military hardware.
[more]

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Lord of the Golden Triangle

Caravan, May, 1994

How does it feel to be the most wanted man in the world? Caravan sends Bertil Lintner to talk to tycoon-druglord Khun Sa at his sub-tropical kingdom in Homong, Burma.
[read the article (pdf)]

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Loss of Innocence

Far Eastern Economic Review, July 16, 1992

A power struggle amongst dissident students at a remote rebel camp in noorthern Burma leads to murder.
[more]

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